Financial Markets & Institutions
Report 232 - July 6, 2011
How Markets React to Election Results
Competing political parties often declare that their economic
policies are best, and try to convince voters that the winner will be able to
influence the economy. One should ask, however, do markets really care about
election outcomes? Are there differences in market reactions to Presidential
versus Congressional elections? Can one say which branch of government is more
influential for economic policy-making?
Read Report
Read Report
Q&A 19 - February 23, 2011
Social Security in an Aging World
Wharton Professor Olivia S. Mitchell answered readers'
questions on how demographic changes affect financial markets and public policy,
on global approaches to social security and pension reform, and on public vs.
private forms of retirement savings.
Report 225 - February 14, 2011
Why Do So Many Consumers Go Bankrupt?
The number of consumer bankruptcy filings in the United
States has increased sharply in the last 30 years, from 1.4 to 8.5 per thousand
working-age adults. Where do these dramatic changes come from? Are they
explained by the deregulation of the consumer credit market? Do they result from
increased information-sharing among lenders made possible by technological
progress? Or do more bankruptcies come from the sharp increase in earnings
volatility?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 223 - February 7, 2011
How Small Investors Affect Stock Returns
How important are retail investors for the determination of
stock returns? Institutional investors now account for most of the trading in
stocks, and many economists expect retail investors to hold little sway in stock
price formation. However, it is also reasonable to expect that small investors
might have different views on the market which might lead them to influence
price. Which view is correct?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 221 - January 31, 2011
Investors' Age and Stock Market Bubbles
When the stock market fell ruinously in 2001 after the
"dot-com" bubble, many investors wished they had been warned that enormous
financial losses were possible. Yet, that was not the first financial market
bubble in history to wipe out massive amounts of wealth. Nor, most likely, will
it be the last one. But how do financial bubbles get formed? What factors can
explain investors’ overoptimism? Does experience - or the lack thereof - play a
relevant role?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 217 - January 17, 2011
Are There Untapped Profits in Currency Markets?
Basic economic reasoning suggests that currencies traded at a
premium on forward markets should tend to appreciate over time, thereby
eliminating any arbitrage opportunity. However, empirical observation shows the
opposite, giving rise to a well-known puzzle. Can simple currency trading
strategies exploit this anomaly and yield positive expected returns? If so, what
is the magnitude of potential profits from currency speculation?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 212 - December 19, 2011
Open-Market Share Repurchases
Firms repurchase their own stock when they want to distribute
free cash flows, need to fund stock option plans, believe their shares are
undervalued, or adjust the firm's capital structure. Although there are several
ways to undertake a repurchase, open-market repurchases have become the most
common method since the 1980s, dwarfing the magnitude of other methods. Why is
this type of purchase so common?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 209 - December 6, 2011
How Globalization Affects Asset Markets
The costs and benefits of the ongoing process of
globalization of both industrialized and emerging economies is a hotly debated
topic. What does pure economic theory have to say about it? In particular, what
are the effects of globalization on the working of goods and asset markets? What
happens when countries that heavily borrow on global financial markets cannot
credibly commit to repay their debts?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 208 - December 5, 2011
How Central Banks Talk to Markets
Monetary policy decisions have a large impact on capital
markets. For example, interest rates and stock market prices are sensitive to
announcements of changes in the target interest rate or in the money supply. In
addition to this quantitative information, the monetary policy stance is
communicated also through qualitative information such as statements, minutes,
and speeches. Do financial markets also react to this type of information?
Read Report
Read Report
Report 207 - November 29, 2011
What Determines Bank Risk Taking?
There are important macroeconomic consequences to the
behavior of banks, and in particular to the amount of risk they take. For this
reason, many countries regulate the banking sector and impose rules of
prudential behavior. What are the main factors that determine the risk-taking
behavior of banks? How important are institutional factors relative to the
ownership structure and corporate governance of banks?
Read Report
Read Report